Match

Etimesgut SK vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, Etimesgut

Etimesgut SKDenizli İYG

The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etimesgut SK vs Denizli İYG?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Etimesgut SK (1,611) and Denizli İYG (1,577).

Etimesgut SK win46 %
Draw27 %
Denizli İYG win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etimesgut SK have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etimesgut SK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home)1-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Kartal Bulvarspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 1
Denizli İYG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)3-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-53. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etimesgut SK1.01.077/155/15
Denizli İYG1.11.082/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etimesgut SK vs Denizli İYG?
The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Denizli İYG.
Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Denizli İYG played?
Etimesgut SK vs Denizli İYG is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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