Etincelles vs Mukura: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mukura wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etincelles vs Mukura?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Etincelles (1,585) and Mukura (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etincelles vs Mukura
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mukura have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etincelles wins, 2 draws, 2 Mukura wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Mukura 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Etincelles 1-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Etincelles 2-0 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Mukura 0-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Etincelles 3-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Mukura 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mukura score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Mukura | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 16th in National Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Mukura sit 3rd (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mukura | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Etincelles vs Mukura?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etincelles vs Mukura?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Etincelles vs Mukura played?
- Etincelles vs Mukura is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Umuganda, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.