Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Concorde, Bukavu
The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Etoile de Kivu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Céleste wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Etoile de Kivu (1,546) and Céleste (1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Kivu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Céleste have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | JSK(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Maniema Union(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etoile de Kivu wins, 1 draw, 3 Céleste wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Céleste 1-0 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Etoile de Kivu 0-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Céleste 2-0 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| May 24, 2024 | Céleste 1-2 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Céleste 1-2 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Etoile de Kivu 0-1 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Céleste vs Etoile de Kivu on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de Kivu score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Céleste score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de Kivu | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Céleste | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de Kivu sit 6th in Ligue 1 (36 points from 26 matches) and Céleste sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Céleste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
A question about Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Etoile de Kivu.
- Where and when is Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste played?
- Etoile de Kivu vs Céleste is played on December 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Concorde, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.