Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Lubumbashi Sport. The most likely score is 0-0. If Simba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,949 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba?
Simba starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,540).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lubumbashi Sport
Not enough data to predict the Lubumbashi Sport lineup.
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lubumbashi Sport have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Simba have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Panda B5(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | FC Tshikas(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | AS New Soger(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Simba(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Saint-Luc(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lubumbashi Sport wins, 2 draws, 2 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Simba 1-2 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Lubumbashi Sport 0-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Lubumbashi Sport 0-2 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Simba 1-1 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Simba 1-1 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Lubumbashi Sport 2-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Simba vs Lubumbashi Sport on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lubumbashi Sport score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubumbashi Sport | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Simba | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lubumbashi Sport sit 7th in Ligue 1 (43 points from 30 matches) and Simba sit 4th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 43 |
A question about Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Lubumbashi Sport.
- Where and when is Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba played?
- Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba is played on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Frédéric Kibassa Maliba, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.