Match

Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 2Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville

Étoile du CongoCARA Brazzaville

The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for CARA Brazzaville. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville?

Étoile du Congo starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,426).

47%32%21%
Étoile du Congo winDrawCARA Brazzaville win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Étoile du Congo

4-3-3
  1. 11Judea Mouandzibi
  2. 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
  3. 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
  1. 21Sagesse Babélé
  2. 10M. Nkounkou
  3. 7Joseph Mbangou
  1. 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
  2. 17Dorvel Dibekou
  3. 4Julfin Ondongo
  4. 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
  1. 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola

CARA Brazzaville

4-3-3
  1. 5Dicha Bomanyae Liema
  2. 20Espoir Mbangou
  3. 13Rox Ferdichel Oyoh Thoury
  1. 25D. Ankira
  2. 6Joseph Mbangou
  3. 26Elvis Filankembo
  1. 19Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
  2. 15Mimille Olfaga de Borniche Okiélé
  3. 18Danga Bossina Guy Chancy
  4. 3Franck Kuetche Fosting
  1. 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile du Congo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; CARA Brazzaville have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Étoile du Congo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Dauphins Noirs(home)0-0Ligue 1
Oct 30, 2026Céleste(away)1-2Ligue 1
Oct 20, 2026JSK(away)1-0Ligue 1
Mar 23, 2025Diables Noirs(home)3-0Ligue 1
Mar 14, 2025CARA Brazzaville(home)4-0Ligue 1
CARA Brazzaville
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2025Patronage Sainte-Anne(home)1-1Ligue 1
Mar 14, 2025Étoile du Congo(away)0-4Ligue 1
Mar 8, 2025Inter Club(home)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 1, 2025Diables Noirs(away)1-2Ligue 1
Feb 23, 2025Avenir(home)2-0Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Étoile du Congo wins, 2 draws, 1 CARA Brazzaville win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2025Étoile du Congo 4-0 CARA BrazzavilleLigue 1
May 18, 2024CARA Brazzaville 0-1 Étoile du CongoLigue 1
Nov 23, 2023Étoile du Congo 0-0 CARA BrazzavilleLigue 1
Apr 15, 2023Étoile du Congo 0-0 CARA BrazzavilleLigue 1
Nov 19, 2022CARA Brazzaville 0-2 Étoile du CongoLigue 1
May 27, 2022Étoile du Congo 1-4 CARA BrazzavilleLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville on Mar 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Étoile du Congo score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; CARA Brazzaville score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Étoile du Congo1.50.5104/156/15
CARA Brazzaville0.81.145/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Étoile du Congo sit 1st in Ligue 1 (24 points from 10 matches) and CARA Brazzaville sit 8th (9 points from 10 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2024 season.

Final 2024 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Étoile du Congo1073018424
8CARA Brazzaville102358139

A question about Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville?
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for CARA Brazzaville.
Where and when is Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville played?
Étoile du Congo vs CARA Brazzaville is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Étoile du Congo and CARA Brazzaville