Nathaly's vs AS Penarol: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 2Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Pointe-Noire, Pointe-Noire
The Footlab AI model makes Nathaly's the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for AS Penarol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nathaly's wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nathaly's vs AS Penarol?
On Elo ratings, Nathaly's has 1,315 points and AS Penarol 1,455.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nathaly's vs AS Penarol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nathaly's
Not enough data to predict the Nathaly's lineup.
AS Penarol
Not enough data to predict the AS Penarol lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nathaly's have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AS Penarol have 1, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Nico-Nicoyé(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Inter Club Pointe Noire(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Club Des Jeunes(home) | 5-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ACJM de Pointe-Noire(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | St-Michel Madingou(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Otôho d'Oyo(away) | 0-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | JS Talangaï(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Inter Club(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Racine(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Jeunesse Unie de Kintélé(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nathaly's score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AS Penarol score 0.7 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaly's | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| AS Penarol | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 3/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nathaly's | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Nathaly's vs AS Penarol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nathaly's vs AS Penarol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nathaly's the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for AS Penarol.
- Where and when is Nathaly's vs AS Penarol played?
- Nathaly's vs AS Penarol is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de Pointe-Noire, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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