Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 6Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Etoile de Kivu. The most likely score is 0-0. If Étoile du Congo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Étoile du Congo (1,543) and Etoile de Kivu (1,573).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile du Congo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Etoile de Kivu have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Anges Verts(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dauphins Noirs(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | JSK(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | FC Renaissance(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Mk de Kinshasa(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | New Jack(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile du Congo score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Etoile de Kivu score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile du Congo | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Etoile de Kivu | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Étoile du Congo sit 8th in Ligue 1 (3 points from 2 matches) and Etoile de Kivu sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Etoile de Kivu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Étoile du Congo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Etoile de Kivu.
- Where and when is Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu played?
- Étoile du Congo vs Etoile de Kivu is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.