Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Concorde, Bukavu
The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Étoile du Congo. The most likely score is 0-0. If Etoile de Kivu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Etoile de Kivu (1,555) and Étoile du Congo (1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Kivu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Étoile du Congo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | New Jack(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | JSK(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JS Talangaï(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de Kivu score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile du Congo score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de Kivu | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Étoile du Congo | 1.6 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de Kivu sit 4th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 2 matches) and Étoile du Congo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Etoile de Kivu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Étoile du Congo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Étoile du Congo.
- Where and when is Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo played?
- Etoile de Kivu vs Étoile du Congo is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Concorde, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.