Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Hostert: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Hostert?
US Hostert starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,436 vs 1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; US Hostert have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 US Hostert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert 5-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-1 US Hostert | National Division |
| Nov 27, 2022 | US Hostert 0-3 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Nov 3, 2021 | US Hostert 3-2 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Hostert vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and US Hostert sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Hostert?
- The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Hostert played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Hostert is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027F91 DudelangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Feb 14, 2027Progres NiederkornvsAtert Bissen
- Feb 14, 2027FC Differdange 03vsWiltz
- Feb 14, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUNA Strassen
- Feb 14, 2027Victoria RosportvsUS Rumelange
- Feb 14, 2027Swift HesperangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Feb 14, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsUN Kaerjeng 97