FC Differdange 03 vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Wiltz?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,434 — a 328-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz 1-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 14, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Wiltz | Cup |
| May 10, 2025 | Wiltz 0-4 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 4-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| May 18, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 1-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Wiltz 1-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs FC Differdange 03 on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs Wiltz played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs Wiltz is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027F91 DudelangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Feb 14, 2027Progres NiederkornvsAtert Bissen
- Feb 14, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUNA Strassen
- Feb 14, 2027Victoria RosportvsUS Rumelange
- Feb 14, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Hostert
- Feb 14, 2027Swift HesperangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Feb 14, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsUN Kaerjeng 97