Europa Point vs Hound Dogs: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Europa Point the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hound Dogs. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa Point vs Hound Dogs?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Europa Point (1,085) and Hound Dogs (1,067).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa Point have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hound Dogs have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | College 1975(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 0-6 | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Europa Point win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hound Dogs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Hound Dogs 0-7 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Europa Point 0-3 Hound Dogs | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Hound Dogs vs Europa Point on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hound Dogs score 0.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Hound Dogs | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa Point sit 4th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Hound Dogs sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Hound Dogs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa Point vs Hound Dogs?
- The Footlab model makes Europa Point the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hound Dogs.
- Where and when is Europa Point vs Hound Dogs played?
- Europa Point vs Hound Dogs is played on January 9, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.