Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Glacis United. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar?
Lions Gibraltar starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,306 vs 1,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glacis United have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Lions Gibraltar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 2-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Glacis United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lions Gibraltar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Glacis United 0-5 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 2-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 4-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Glacis United 1-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 1-0 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Glacis United 3-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glacis United score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glacis United | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glacis United sit 1st in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Lions Gibraltar sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glacis United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar?
- The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Glacis United.
- Where and when is Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar played?
- Glacis United vs Lions Gibraltar is played on January 10, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.