Europa vs Hound Dogs: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Hound Dogs. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa vs Hound Dogs?
Europa is a heavy favourite: 1,466 Elo points against 1,067 — a 399-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hound Dogs have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | College 1975(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 0-6 | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Europa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hound Dogs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Europa 6-0 Hound Dogs | Premier Division |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Hound Dogs 0-3 Europa | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Europa score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hound Dogs score 0.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Hound Dogs | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa sit 3rd in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Hound Dogs sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Europa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Hound Dogs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa vs Hound Dogs?
- The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Hound Dogs.
- Where and when is Europa vs Hound Dogs played?
- Europa vs Hound Dogs is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.