Mons Calpe vs Magpies: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Magpies. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mons Calpe vs Magpies?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Mons Calpe (1,362) and Magpies (1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mons Calpe have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Magpies have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mons Calpe win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Magpies win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Magpies 2-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Mons Calpe 0-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Magpies 4-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-5 Magpies | Premier Division |
| May 12, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Magpies 3-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mons Calpe vs Magpies?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Magpies.
- Where and when is Mons Calpe vs Magpies played?
- Mons Calpe vs Magpies is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.