Europa vs St Joseph S Fc: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Europa. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa vs St Joseph S Fc?
St Joseph S Fc starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,624 vs 1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; St Joseph S Fc have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Europa win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 St Joseph S Fc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Europa 0-0 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Europa 0-1 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 2-1 Europa | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 2-1 Europa | Premier Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 2-1 Europa | Premier Division |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Europa 1-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Europa vs St Joseph S Fc on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Europa score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Europa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa vs St Joseph S Fc?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Europa.
- Where and when is Europa vs St Joseph S Fc played?
- Europa vs St Joseph S Fc is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.