Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point?
Lions Gibraltar starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,306 vs 1,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions Gibraltar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Europa Point have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lions Gibraltar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Europa Point win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 4-0 Europa Point | Rock Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Europa Point 2-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 3-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 3-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Europa Point 1-4 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Europa Point 0-0 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lions Gibraltar sit 5th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Europa Point sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point?
- The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point played?
- Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point is played on December 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.