Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionMatchday 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab AI model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point?
Lions Gibraltar starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,325 vs 1,135).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lions Gibraltar
Not enough data to predict the Lions Gibraltar lineup.
Europa Point
Not enough data to predict the Europa Point lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions Gibraltar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Europa Point have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Europa(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 0-4 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-5 | Premier Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Magpies(away) | 1-6 | Premier Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | College 1975(home) | 7-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lions Gibraltar wins, 0 draws, 2 Europa Point wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Europa Point 4-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 4-0 Europa Point | Rock Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Europa Point 2-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 3-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 3-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Europa Point 1-4 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs Lions Gibraltar on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lions Gibraltar score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Europa Point score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Europa Point | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lions Gibraltar sit 6th in Premier Division (7 points from 5 matches) and Europa Point sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lions Gibraltar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 7 | Europa Point | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point played?
- Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point is played on December 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.