Express vs UPDF: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of Express vs UPDF?
Express won 1-0 on September 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′Habert AsiimweExpress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Express have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; UPDF have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | URA(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Bright Stars(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | BUL(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Express win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 UPDF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | Express 2-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | UPDF 0-2 Express | Premier League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Express 3-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Express | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Express 1-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 Express | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Express score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Express | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| UPDF | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Express sit 10th in Premier League (37 points from 30 matches) and UPDF sit 14th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Express | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy