Express vs UPDF: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of Express vs UPDF?
Express won 1-0 on September 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′Habert AsiimweExpress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Express have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; UPDF have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | URA(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Bright Stars(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | BUL(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Express wins, 4 draws, 0 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | Express 2-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | UPDF 0-2 Express | Premier League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Express 3-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Express | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Express 1-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 Express | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Express score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Express | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| UPDF | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Express sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Express vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy