Police vs Mbarara City: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Mbarara City?
Police and Mbarara City drew 1-1 on September 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′623326Police
- 77′Reagan MategeMbarara City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mbarara City have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Wakiso Giants(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | UPDF(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | SC Villa(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Express(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Lugazi(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Wakiso Giants(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | NEC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police wins, 2 draws, 2 Mbarara City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025 | Police 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 Police | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2022 | Mbarara City 3-0 Police | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Police 0-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 22, 2021 | Mbarara City 1-0 Police | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Police 3-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Police vs Mbarara City on Apr 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mbarara City score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mbarara City | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in Premier League (14 points from 9 matches) and Mbarara City sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Police vs Mbarara City?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy