Fafe vs Ideal: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on September 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque Municipal dos Desportos, Fafe
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What was the result of Fafe vs Ideal?
Fafe won 1-0 on September 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fafe have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ideal have 2, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Joane(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Amarante(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| May 21, 2017 | Aves(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| May 14, 2017 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 7, 2017 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Real(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Amarante(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Almodôvar(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Rabo Peixe(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Fafe score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ideal score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fafe | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ideal | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy