Fafe vs São João Ver: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Municipal dos Desportos, Fafe
The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for São João Ver. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fafe vs São João Ver?
On Elo ratings, Fafe has 2,046 points and São João Ver 1,965.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fafe vs São João Ver
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fafe
4-3-3- 13Tiago Veiga
- 9M. Correia
- 11Picas
- 20Duarte Carvalho
- 10Daniel Carvalho
- 8Mimito Biai
- 4Leandro Teixeira
- 26João Batista
- 2Obama Ribeiro
- 6Nuno Sequeira
- 1P. Kudakovskiy
São João Ver
4-3-3- 87Zequinha
- 7J. Machado
- 10N. Pereira
- 29Rodrigo Valente
- 8T. Campas
- 6M. Camara
- 4Bruno Morais
- 21Rui Bruno
- 55M. Vilela
- 25Ruca Morgado
- 30S. M. Junior J.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fafe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; São João Ver have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leça(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fafe wins, 0 draws, 3 São João Ver wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | São João Ver 1-3 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fafe 1-2 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | São João Ver 1-0 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | São João Ver 0-4 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Fafe 2-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | São João Ver 4-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fafe score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; São João Ver score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fafe | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| São João Ver | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fafe sit 5th in Liga 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and São João Ver sit 7th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Fafe vs São João Ver?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fafe vs São João Ver?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for São João Ver.
- Where and when is Fafe vs São João Ver played?
- Fafe vs São João Ver is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.