Falkirk vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk
The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Motherwell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Falkirk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkirk vs Motherwell?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Falkirk (1,823) and Motherwell (1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Falkirk vs Motherwell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 8L. Fadinger
- 11A. Lowry
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 77W. Vogt
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkirk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Motherwell have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 3-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Falkirk wins, 2 draws, 0 Motherwell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Motherwell 0-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| May 2, 2026 | Falkirk 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Motherwell 2-3 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Falkirk 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Motherwell 1-2 Falkirk | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Falkirk score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkirk sit 11th in Premiership (6 points from 8 matches) and Motherwell sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Falkirk vs Motherwell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Motherwell.
- Where and when is Falkirk vs Motherwell played?
- Falkirk vs Motherwell is played on December 2, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Falkirk Community Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.