FarDu vs BuxDu: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FarDu the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for BuxDu. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FarDu vs BuxDu?
FarDu starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,590 vs 1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FarDu have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; BuxDu have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shortan(home) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jayxun(away) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aral(away) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gazalkent(home) | 1-3 | Pro League A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shortan(home) | 2-4 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jayxun(away) | 1-5 | Pro League A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FarDu win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 BuxDu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | BuxDu 1-1 FarDu | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
FarDu score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; BuxDu score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FarDu | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| BuxDu | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FarDu sit 4th in Pro League A (29 points from 16 matches) and BuxDu sit 12th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FarDu | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | FarDu | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 10 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FarDu vs BuxDu?
- The Footlab model makes FarDu the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for BuxDu.
- Where and when is FarDu vs BuxDu played?
- FarDu vs BuxDu is played on September 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.