Lochin vs Respublika FA: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lochin the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Respublika FA. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lochin vs Respublika FA?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Lochin (1,594) and Respublika FA (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lochin have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Respublika FA have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(away) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Yaypan(home) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Metalourg(away) | 0-5 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalourg(home) | 1-3 | Pro League A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Aral(home) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Gazalkent(home) | 0-7 | Pro League A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Shortan(away) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lochin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Respublika FA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Respublika FA 0-0 Lochin | Pro League A |
Last archived meeting: Respublika FA vs Lochin on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lochin score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Respublika FA score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lochin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Respublika FA | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lochin sit 7th in Pro League A (28 points from 16 matches) and Respublika FA sit 11th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lochin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochin | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
| 10 | Respublika FA | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Respublika FA | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lochin vs Respublika FA?
- The Footlab model makes Lochin the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Respublika FA.
- Where and when is Lochin vs Respublika FA played?
- Lochin vs Respublika FA is played on September 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.