Farense vs Arouca: result 1-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on October 21, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
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What was the result of Farense vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-3 on October 21, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Arouca have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Portalegrense(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Caçadores das Taipas(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 22, 2018 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Academico Viseu(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy