Farense vs Arouca: result 1-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on October 21, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
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What was the result of Farense vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-3 on October 21, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Arouca have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Portalegrense(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Caçadores das Taipas(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 22, 2018 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Academico Viseu(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Farense vs Arouca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy