Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio General Nicolau Fico, Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Farroupilha the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for SC Rio Grande. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Farroupilha (1,600) and SC Rio Grande (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Farroupilha have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SC Rio Grande have 4, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Bagé(home) | 1-2 | Copa Gaúcha |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-4 | Copa Gaúcha |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(home) | 1-1 | Copa Gaúcha |
| May 27, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(away) | 0-0 | Copa Gaúcha |
| May 21, 2026 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 0-1 | Copa Gaúcha |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Guarani RS(away) | 0-4 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Guarani RS(home) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | FBC Riograndense RS(home) | 2-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | São Gabriel(home) | 3-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Farroupilha win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SC Rio Grande win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | Farroupilha 2-1 SC Rio Grande | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | SC Rio Grande 0-1 Farroupilha | Gaúcho - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande on Oct 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Farroupilha score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; SC Rio Grande score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farroupilha | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/12 | 4/12 |
| SC Rio Grande | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 6/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande?
- The Footlab model makes Farroupilha the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for SC Rio Grande.
- Where and when is Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande played?
- Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio General Nicolau Fico, in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.