São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aldo Dapuzzo, Rio Grande, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes São Paulo RS the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Futebol Com Vida. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate São Paulo RS (1,563) and Futebol Com Vida (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Paulo RS have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Futebol Com Vida have 2, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Apafut(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Apafut(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | São Gabriel(away) | 5-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SC Rio Grande(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FBC Riograndense RS(away) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2024 | Monsoon(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Lajeadense(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 3, 2024 | São Gabriel(away) | 2-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Inter Santa Maria(home) | 0-4 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Pelotas(away) | 1-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
São Paulo RS score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Futebol Com Vida score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo RS | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Futebol Com Vida | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida?
- The Footlab model makes São Paulo RS the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Futebol Com Vida.
- Where and when is São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida played?
- São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Aldo Dapuzzo, in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.