Match

Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar

Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Fasil Ketema. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,197 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,513) and Welayta Dicha (1,567).

21%33%46%
Fasil Ketema winDrawWelayta Dicha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fasil Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.

Welayta Dicha

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Damtew
  2. 19Y. Darza
  3. 11A. Aliso
  1. 8A. Kidane
  2. 16T. Taffese
  3. 14M. Nicole
  1. 44N. Nasaro
  2. 27Yonatan Elias
  3. 5K. Kebede
  4. 26Wubshet Kifle
  1. 1B. Genetu

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fasil Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Bahardar(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 24, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Welayta Dicha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Halaba Ketema(home)6-0Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Bahardar(home)1-3Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Fasil Ketema(home)0-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fasil Ketema win, 4 draws, 1 Welayta Dicha win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Welayta Dicha 0-0 Fasil KetemaPremier League
Apr 14, 2026Welayta Dicha 0-1 Fasil KetemaPremier League
Nov 30, 2025Fasil Ketema 1-1 Welayta DichaPremier League
Jun 4, 2025Fasil Ketema 0-3 Welayta DichaPremier League
Nov 26, 2024Welayta Dicha 1-1 Fasil KetemaPremier League
Jun 29, 2024Welayta Dicha 0-0 Fasil KetemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fasil Ketema score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fasil Ketema0.81.155/155/15
Welayta Dicha1.30.5114/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fasil Ketema sit 15th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welayta Dicha52211048
15Fasil Ketema4031343

A question about Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Fasil Ketema.
Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha played?
Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fasil Ketema and Welayta Dicha

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