Match

Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaAwassa Kenema

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,589) and Awassa Kenema (1,528).

41%35%24%
Mekelakeya winDrawAwassa Kenema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Awassa Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 9G. Kebede
  2. 11T. Hefamo
  3. 20S. Gacho
  1. 18S. Bekele
  2. 8B. Yared
  3. 18D. Taddese
  1. 2A. Demissie
  2. 12B. Tadele
  3. 6W. Maereg
  4. 4S. Wodessa
  1. 22S. Habtamu

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Awassa Kenema have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Awassa Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Gamo Chencha(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Adama Kenema(home)2-3Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mekelakeya wins, 2 draws, 2 Awassa Kenema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema 0-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 19, 2026Mekelakeya 0-0 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Dec 7, 2025Awassa Kenema 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
May 31, 2025Mekelakeya 1-3 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Jan 30, 2025Awassa Kenema 1-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
May 18, 2024Awassa Kenema 2-3 MekelakeyaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Awassa Kenema0.71.048/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Awassa Kenema sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
11Awassa Kenema4121445

A question about Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Awassa Kenema.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema played?
Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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