Fatsa Belediyespor vs İnkılapspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa
The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for İnkılapspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs İnkılapspor?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,535) and İnkılapspor (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; İnkılapspor have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Edirnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| İnkılapspor | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | İnkılapspor | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs İnkılapspor?
- The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for İnkılapspor.
- Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs İnkılapspor played?
- Fatsa Belediyespor vs İnkılapspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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