Gölcükspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, Gölcük
The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gölcükspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor?
Zonguldak Kömürspor starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,617 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gölcükspor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Zonguldak Kömürspor have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Bursaspor(away) | 2-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bartınspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gebzespor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 1, 2021 | Arhavispor(home) | 5-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Giresunspor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zonguldak Kömürspor score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gölcükspor | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zonguldak Kömürspor | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gölcükspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor?
- The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gölcükspor.
- Where and when is Gölcükspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor played?
- Gölcükspor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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