Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536) and Pazarspor (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Pazarspor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pazarspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor 0-2 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Pazarspor 2-1 Fatsa Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor played?
- Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026GölcüksporvsKüçükçekmece Sinopspor
- Nov 7, 2026SilivrisporvsBeykoz Anadolu
- Nov 7, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSKvsİnkılapspor
- Nov 7, 2026Amasyaspor 1968vsGalata
- Nov 7, 2026Kartal BulvarsporvsZonguldak Kömürspor
- Nov 7, 2026Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsKarabük İdman Yurdu
- Nov 7, 2026Beykoz İshaklısporvsDüzcespor
- Nov 7, 2026Yalova YeşilovasporvsOrduspor 1967