Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Karabük İdman Yurdu

The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,538) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,541).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win38 %

Draw29 %

Karabük İdman Yurdu win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Karabük İdman Yurdu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Giresunspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Pazarspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Fatsa Belediyespor(away)	3-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Artvin Hopaspor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karabük İdman Yurdu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-1 Karabük İdman Yurdu	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 13, 2025	Karabük İdman Yurdu 1-4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15
Karabük İdman Yurdu	1.2	0.9	8	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?: The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.