Match

Fatsa Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa

Fatsa BelediyesporTokat Bld Plevnespor

The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,547) and Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,549).

Fatsa Belediyespor win43 %
Draw28 %
Tokat Bld Plevnespor win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fatsa Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Yeni Orduspor(away)1-43. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Çayelispor(home)5-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Düzcespor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Yeni Orduspor(away)0-63. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Giresunspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Pazarspor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Tokat Bld Plevnespor 2-3 Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3
Nov 9, 2025Fatsa Belediyespor 2-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fatsa Belediyespor1.11.738/158/15
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1.11.274/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?
Fatsa Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fatsa Belediyespor and Tokat Bld Plevnespor

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