Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Fatsa Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,538) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win41 %

Draw29 %

Fatsa Belediyespor win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Fatsa Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	1-4	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	5-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Amasyaspor 1968(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Tokat Bld Plevnespor 2-3 Fatsa Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 3
Nov 9, 2025	Fatsa Belediyespor 2-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15
Fatsa Belediyespor	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.