FBC Melgar vs Caracas FC: result 2-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores3rd RoundKick-off on February 20, 2019 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa
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What was the result of FBC Melgar vs Caracas FC?
FBC Melgar won 2-0 on February 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 35′Á. RomeroFBC Melgar
- 51′H. ArakakiFBC Melgar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FBC Melgar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Caracas FC have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 5, 2019 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Alianza Lima(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | Aragua FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Delfin SC(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Deportivo Tachira FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 6, 2019 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Zamora FC(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Melgar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caracas FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Caracas FC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy