FBC Melgar vs Real Garcilaso: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on April 19, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa
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What was the result of FBC Melgar vs Real Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar won 3-1 on April 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 39′A. AriasFBC Melgar
- 43′O. FernándezFBC Melgar
- 52′Carlos Alberto Orejuela PitaReal Garcilaso (pen.)
- 72′B. CuestaFBC Melgar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, FBC Melgar have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Garcilaso have 4, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2016 | U. San Martin(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2016 | Universitario(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Melgar score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Real Garcilaso score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
| Real Garcilaso | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 15, 2016Deportivo Municipal1-0Comerciantes Unidos
- Apr 16, 2016Ayacucho FC1-1U. San Martin
- Apr 16, 2016UTC Cajamarca0-0Sporting Cristal
- Apr 16, 2016Juan Aurich0-0Cesar Vallejo
- Apr 17, 2016Universitario1-0Union Comercio
- Apr 17, 2016Sport Huancayo1-1Alianza Atletico
- Apr 17, 2016Defensor LA Bocana1-2Alianza Lima