FC Bacău II vs CSM FC Vaslui: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSM FC Vaslui the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for FC Bacău II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Bacău II vs CSM FC Vaslui?
CSM FC Vaslui starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,449 vs 1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacău II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; CSM FC Vaslui have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | USV Iaşi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Bacău II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 CSM FC Vaslui win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui 2-1 FC Bacău II | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | CSM FC Vaslui 2-1 FC Bacău II | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | FC Bacău II 1-2 CSM FC Vaslui | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: CSM FC Vaslui vs FC Bacău II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Bacău II score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSM FC Vaslui score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bacău II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| CSM FC Vaslui | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Bacău II sit 8th in Liga III - Serie 1 (18 points from 7 matches) and CSM FC Vaslui sit 1st (41 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Bacău II vs CSM FC Vaslui?
- The Footlab model makes CSM FC Vaslui the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for FC Bacău II.
- Where and when is FC Bacău II vs CSM FC Vaslui played?
- FC Bacău II vs CSM FC Vaslui is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.