Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs Paşcani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Ceahlăul, Piatra Neamţ
The Footlab model makes Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Paşcani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs Paşcani?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ (1,421) and Paşcani (1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Paşcani have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-5 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| May 2, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-4 | Liga II |
| Apr 25, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite(away) | 3-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 30, 2025 | USV Iaşi(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Răuceşti(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Politehnica Iasi(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Paşcani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2024 | Paşcani 0-2 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | Cupa României |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 5-0 Paşcani | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 29, 2020 | Paşcani 0-1 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Paşcani vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ on Aug 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ score 0.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paşcani score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Paşcani | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs Paşcani?
- The Footlab model makes Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Paşcani.
- Where and when is Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs Paşcani played?
- Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs Paşcani is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Ceahlăul, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.