FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)St. Jakob-Park, Basel
The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Basel 1893. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate FC Basel 1893 (1,952) and BSC Young Boys (2,039).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Basel 1893 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; BSC Young Boys have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Courtételle(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Liestal(away) | 4-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 6-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Basel 1893 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 BSC Young Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | BSC Young Boys 3-0 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Basel 1893 3-3 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | BSC Young Boys 0-0 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2025 | FC Basel 1893 4-1 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| May 18, 2025 | BSC Young Boys 6-2 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC Basel 1893 1-2 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
Last archived meeting: BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Basel 1893 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BSC Young Boys score 3.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| BSC Young Boys | 3.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Basel 1893 sit 3rd in Super League (9 points from 4 matches) and BSC Young Boys sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BSC Young Boys | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | FC Basel 1893 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys?
- The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Basel 1893.
- Where and when is FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys played?
- FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at St. Jakob-Park, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.