Grasshoppers vs FC Thun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Letzigrund, Zürich
The Footlab model makes FC Thun the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grasshoppers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grasshoppers vs FC Thun?
FC Thun starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grasshoppers have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Thun have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Regensdorf(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Servette FC(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-7 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Saxon Sports(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grasshoppers win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Thun 5-1 Grasshoppers | Super League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Grasshoppers 1-3 FC Thun | Super League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FC Thun 1-1 Grasshoppers | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | FC Thun 0-2 Grasshoppers | Schweizer Cup |
| May 31, 2024 | FC Thun 1-2 Grasshoppers | Super League |
| May 26, 2024 | Grasshoppers 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC Thun vs Grasshoppers on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grasshoppers score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grasshoppers sit 11th in Super League (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grasshoppers vs FC Thun?
- The Footlab model makes FC Thun the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grasshoppers.
- Where and when is Grasshoppers vs FC Thun played?
- Grasshoppers vs FC Thun is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Letzigrund, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.