FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)St. Jakob-Park, Basel
The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Basel 1893. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate FC Basel 1893 (1,952) and FC ST. Gallen (2,049).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Basel 1893 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC ST. Gallen have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Courtételle(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Thalwil(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Basel 1893 win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FC ST. Gallen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | FC Basel 1893 1-3 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen 3-0 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen 2-1 FC Basel 1893 | Schweizer Cup |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Basel 1893 0-0 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FC ST. Gallen 2-1 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC ST. Gallen 2-2 FC Basel 1893 | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Basel 1893 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC ST. Gallen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| FC ST. Gallen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Basel 1893 sit 3rd in Super League (9 points from 4 matches) and FC ST. Gallen sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Basel 1893 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
- The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for FC Basel 1893.
- Where and when is FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen played?
- FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at St. Jakob-Park, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.