FC Vaduz vs FC Thun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rheinpark Stadion
The Footlab model makes FC Vaduz the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Thun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Vaduz vs FC Thun?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate FC Vaduz (1,870) and FC Thun (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Vaduz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; FC Thun have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-7 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Saxon Sports(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Vaduz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | FC Vaduz 3-3 FC Thun | Challenge League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | FC Thun 3-1 FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FC Vaduz 2-0 FC Thun | Challenge League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | FC Thun 2-0 FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| May 17, 2024 | FC Thun 6-3 FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | FC Vaduz 1-0 FC Thun | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Vaduz score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vaduz | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Vaduz sit 12th in Super League (0 points from 4 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Vaduz vs FC Thun?
- The Footlab model makes FC Vaduz the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Thun.
- Where and when is FC Vaduz vs FC Thun played?
- FC Vaduz vs FC Thun is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rheinpark Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.