FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC BW Linz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SV Kapfenberg have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC BW Linz win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SV Kapfenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | FC BW Linz 2-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | SV Kapfenberg 2-4 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| May 22, 2022 | SV Kapfenberg 0-0 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | FC BW Linz 2-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Mar 12, 2021 | FC BW Linz 3-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SV Kapfenberg 2-0 FC BW Linz | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg on Mar 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC BW Linz sit 1st in 2. Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and SV Kapfenberg sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg played?
- FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg is played on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hofmann Personal Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.