SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapfenberg, Kapfenberg
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Kapfenberg have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; FC BW Linz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Kapfenberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC BW Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | FC BW Linz 2-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | SV Kapfenberg 2-4 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| May 22, 2022 | SV Kapfenberg 0-0 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | FC BW Linz 2-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Mar 12, 2021 | FC BW Linz 3-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SV Kapfenberg 2-0 FC BW Linz | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC BW Linz vs SV Kapfenberg on Mar 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Kapfenberg sit 16th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and FC BW Linz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz played?
- SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapfenberg, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.