FC Lugano vs FC Thun: result 2-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2017 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
Full time
What was the result of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
FC Lugano won 2-1 on April 17, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 49′M. FacchinettiFC Lugano (o.g.)
- 65′E. AlioskiFC Lugano
- 90′D. SorgićFC Thun
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Thun have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | FC Sion(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2017 | FC Luzern(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Mar 19, 2017 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | FC Thun(away) | 2-5 | Super League |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Lausanne(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | Lausanne(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Apr 1, 2017 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Mar 19, 2017 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | FC Lugano(home) | 5-2 | Super League |
| Mar 4, 2017 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Lugano win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | FC Thun 5-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2016 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Sep 25, 2016 | FC Thun 2-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lugano sit 2nd in Super League (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy