FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe: result 3-4 and analysis
UEFA Champions League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 23, 2024 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe won 3-4 on July 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′A. El WafiFC Lugano
- 45′E. DžekoFenerbahçe (pen.)
- 46′E. DžekoFenerbahçe
- 64′U. BislimiFC Lugano
- 67′E. DžekoFenerbahçe
- 73′F. KadıoğluFenerbahçe
- 90′M. ValenzuelaFC Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2024 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Parma(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Aarau(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Bellinzona(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2024 | Strasbourg(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2024 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2024 | İstanbulspor(home) | 6-0 | Süper Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy