Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum
The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Çorum FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (2,208 vs 1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Çorum FK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 4-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Çorum FK score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Çorum FK sit 15th in Süper Lig (1 points from 2 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Çorum FK.
- Where and when is Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.