FC Messina vs Cavese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 34Kick-off on April 14, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Messina have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Cavese have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | Troina(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Paternò(away) | 1-8 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Santa Maria Cilento(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Real Normanna(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Real Normanna(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Trapani 1905(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Gelbison(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Portici(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Licata(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Messina score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 2.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Messina | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cavese | 2.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy