FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning
The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Sonderjyske. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 1,851).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Midtjylland
3-4-1-2- 90F. Etim
- 18S. Iheanacho
- 19P. Bravo
- 8P. Billing
- 98D. Martínez
- 21D. Castillo
- 29K. Wätjen
- 22M. Bech
- 5R. Kristensen
- 3M. Jensen
- 1E. Ólafsson
Sonderjyske
4-2-3-1- 11O. De Rosario
- 8M. Haidara
- 17A. Hoeg
- 31I. Seydi
- 7S. Emini
- 10M. Olesen
- 12M. Soulas
- 3A. Munksgaard
- 25B. Bjarnason
- 19P. Kristensen
- 24N. Shinton
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Sonderjyske have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Odense(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Brondby(home) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 7-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Aarhus(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 4-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-5 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Midtjylland wins, 1 draw, 1 Sonderjyske win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sonderjyske 2-3 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Sonderjyske 1-2 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Midtjylland 2-2 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Sonderjyske 3-6 FC Midtjylland | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sonderjyske 2-1 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Jul 28, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 6-2 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Midtjylland score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sonderjyske score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sonderjyske | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Midtjylland sit 2nd in Superliga (22 points from 10 matches) and Sonderjyske sit 12th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 22 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 5 |
A question about FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Sonderjyske.
- Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske played?
- FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.