Aarhus vs AC Horsens: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for AC Horsens. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Aarhus starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AC Horsens have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Odense(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Odense(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brondby(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aarhus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AC Horsens win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Aarhus 2-0 AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Aarhus 2-1 AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 30, 2024 | AC Horsens 0-3 Aarhus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Aarhus 2-1 AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Aarhus 2-0 AC Horsens | Superliga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Aarhus 0-1 AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AC Horsens score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| AC Horsens | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus sit 10th in Superliga (3 points from 4 matches) and AC Horsens sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Horsens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for AC Horsens.
- Where and when is Aarhus vs AC Horsens played?
- Aarhus vs AC Horsens is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.